Metrics question

Wayfair has three shipping methods that they use to deliver products to customers. They are considering changing the shipping price of one of these methods. What is the impact of this change in price on profits?

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What this question tests

Structured quantitative reasoning about a pricing change's effect on profit, considering volume elasticity, not just margin per order.

How to approach it

  1. Clarify which shipping method's price is changing and by how much, since the answer depends on these specifics; state an illustrative assumption, for example raising the price of the standard shipping method by 2 dollars.
  2. Identify the two opposing effects: higher shipping price increases margin per order that still ships via that method, but likely reduces the number of customers choosing it or ordering at all.
  3. Estimate a demand elasticity assumption, for example assuming a 2 dollar increase reduces orders using that method by 10 percent due to price sensitivity.
  4. Build a simple before and after comparison: baseline orders times old margin per order versus reduced orders times new, higher margin per order.
  5. Compare the two totals to see whether the margin gain per order outweighs the volume loss, and note this depends heavily on the elasticity assumption.
  6. Recommend testing the price change on a small segment first, since the actual elasticity is uncertain and the profit impact could go either way.

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