Estimation question

Estimate hardware costs per Google Photos user.

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What this question tests

Structured Fermi estimation with clearly stated, reasonable assumptions and a sanity check against a known anchor.

How to approach it

  1. State the goal: estimate storage hardware cost per active user, driven mainly by average storage used per user.
  2. Assume average storage per active user, for example 5GB across a mix of light and heavy free-tier users, marked explicitly as an assumption.
  3. Estimate raw storage cost per GB using known cloud storage economics, roughly $0.02 to $0.03 per GB per year at large infrastructure scale, an assumption.
  4. Multiply: 5GB times about $0.025 per GB per year gives roughly $0.12 to $0.15 per user per year in raw storage cost.
  5. Add redundancy and replication overhead, typically 2 to 3x for durability, roughly tripling the estimate to around $0.35 to $0.45 per user per year.
  6. Sanity-check against known paid storage pricing, like 100GB for about $20 a year, confirming the estimate is a small fraction of what's charged, consistent with cloud margins.

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