Estimation question
Estimate the daily watch time of cooking videos on YouTube.
- Estimation
- Medium
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What this question tests
Tests structured top-down estimation, decomposing a global platform number into population, adoption and duration assumptions.
How to approach it
- Frame the formula: daily watch time equals YouTube's daily active viewers of cooking content times the average minutes watched per viewer.
- Assume YouTube has roughly 2 billion monthly active users, with daily actives around 40%, roughly 800 million daily active users.
- Assume 10% of daily actives watch some cooking content on a given day, roughly 80 million viewers, since cooking is a popular but not universal category.
- Assume an average of 15 minutes of cooking content watched per viewer on days they watch any.
- Multiply: 80 million viewers times 15 minutes gives roughly 1.2 billion minutes, about 20 million hours, of daily cooking-video watch time, stated as an assumption-based estimate.
What a strong answer includes
- Builds the estimate from YouTube's known rough scale, 2 billion MAU, rather than guessing a number from nothing.
- States every intermediate assumption, daily active share, cooking-viewer share, minutes per viewer, clearly and separately.
- Shows the full multiplication so the final number can be sanity-checked or challenged step by step.
Common mistakes
- Jumping to a final number without decomposing it into population and adoption assumptions.
- Not stating that these are assumptions, presenting the estimate as if it were a known fact.
Likely follow-up questions
- How would you adjust this for regional differences in cooking-content popularity?
- How would you sanity-check this against YouTube's public total watch-time disclosures?
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Learn the skill behind it
Chapters of the AI PM course that teach what this question tests.
- Chapter 2: Data fluency: SQL, logs, and reading the truth yourself
- Chapter 9: Prove it paid off: outcomes, economics, and pricing
- Chapter 14: Get the job: the AI PM interview loop