Estimation question

Estimate the number of drones necessary to complete all deliveries for Amazon in NYC.

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What this question tests

Estimation with real-world operational constraints: can you factor in payload, range and delivery-window limits, not just raw package volume.

How to approach it

  1. Estimate daily package volume for Amazon in NYC, e.g. a large metro area with a few million residents and high Amazon penetration (state as assumption).
  2. Filter to drone-eligible packages: small, light items within drone payload limits (assume under 5 lbs) and short-range delivery zones, a fraction of total volume.
  3. Estimate deliveries per drone per day, factoring flight time, battery/recharge cycles, and NYC-specific constraints like airspace restrictions and building density.
  4. Divide eligible daily package volume by deliveries-per-drone to get the fleet size needed.
  5. Sanity check: NYC's dense, high-rise environment likely makes drone delivery far less practical than suburban areas, which should lower the eligible volume assumption further.
  6. State what data would refine this: actual FAA airspace rules and real drone flight-time specs.

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