Estimation question

Estimate the number of emails that the city of San Francisco receives.

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What this question tests

Whether you can decompose an unfamiliar estimation problem into clean, stated assumptions.

How to approach it

  1. Clarify scope: emails received by people and organizations located in San Francisco, per day or per year.
  2. Estimate the population: roughly 800,000 residents plus commuters and businesses receiving mail there.
  3. Split into segments: personal emails per person per day, and business or transactional emails per worker per day, since volumes differ a lot.
  4. State assumptions: roughly 20 personal emails per person per day, and 100 plus emails per office worker per day including automated mail.
  5. Multiply each segment by its population and sum, then convert to an annual figure if the question calls for it.
  6. Sanity check the total against known scale, like global daily email volume in the hundreds of billions, to confirm the city's share is reasonable.

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