Estimation question

How many cars are on 101 between San Francisco and Mountain View?

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What this question tests

Fermi estimation using distance, lane count and traffic density.

How to approach it

  1. Estimate the distance between the two points, roughly 35 miles.
  2. Assume the number of lanes each direction, e.g. 4.
  3. Assume average car spacing during a given time of day, e.g. one car every 100 feet per lane in moderate traffic.
  4. Convert spacing to cars per mile per lane, then multiply by lanes and distance.
  5. State assumptions clearly and give a range depending on time of day.
  6. Sanity-check the final number's order of magnitude.

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