Estimation question

How much time is spent by people while waiting in their vehicles at traffic signals in the US?

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What this question tests

Tests estimation combining vehicle counts, traffic light behavior, and daily commuting patterns into one coherent national-scale figure.

How to approach it

  1. State the funnel: number of registered vehicles in the US, average number of signalized intersections a vehicle passes daily, then average wait time per stop.
  2. Assume roughly 280 million registered vehicles in the US, and that an average driver passes through about 5 signalized intersections per day (accounting for both drivers and non-drivers averaged out, maybe closer to 3).
  3. Assume an average wait at a red light of about 30 seconds per stop, factoring in that not every intersection pass results in a stop, so apply a rough 50% chance of hitting a red.
  4. Multiply: 280 million vehicles times 3 stops times 50% chance times 30 seconds gives roughly 3.5 billion vehicle-seconds per day, or about 1 million vehicle-hours daily.
  5. Convert to a yearly or more intuitive figure if useful, and state the final answer as roughly 1 million hours of daily aggregate wait time as an order-of-magnitude estimate.

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