Metrics question

Instagram team is planning to start a display campaign on subways in NYC. How would you design the test and measure the campaign success?

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What this question tests

Experimentation design skill, checking whether you can structure a valid test for an offline-to-online marketing channel with a clear success metric and control group.

How to approach it

  1. Clarify the goal: measure whether the subway campaign drives incremental Instagram app opens, signups, or a specific in-app action among NYC subway riders.
  2. Define the test structure: run the campaign in select subway stations or lines while holding out comparable stations as a geographic control group.
  3. Choose the measurement method: use unique tracking, like QR codes with campaign-specific UTM parameters or geo-based app open lift analysis for the test versus control areas.
  4. Address confounders: control for seasonality and other concurrent marketing by comparing the test period against both the control group and the same period last year.
  5. Define the primary metric: incremental app opens or signups attributable to the campaign, and a guardrail metric like cost per incremental user against the media spend.
  6. Set a decision threshold in advance: define what lift would justify scaling the campaign to other cities before analyzing results, to avoid post-hoc rationalization.

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