Estimation question

Estimate the compute cost of giving every X user free access to Grok.

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What this question tests

Estimation combining a massive user base with realistic engagement assumptions to avoid wild overestimation.

How to approach it

  1. State assumptions: assume X has roughly 250 million monthly active users, but only a fraction would actively use a free Grok feature regularly.
  2. Estimate active Grok users: assume 10 percent of monthly actives try it in a given month, and of those, 30 percent use it weekly, giving roughly 7.5 million weekly active Grok users.
  3. Estimate queries per user: assume an average of 3 queries per weekly active user per week.
  4. Estimate cost per query: assume a blended inference cost of roughly 0.01 dollars per query for a mixed-size model serving free users.
  5. Multiply: 7.5 million users times 3 queries times an assumed 0.01 dollars equals roughly 225,000 dollars per week, or roughly 32,000 dollars per day, clearly marked as a rough estimate.

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