Estimation question

Estimate the cost savings of routing 10% of an engineering org's tasks to Devin.

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What this question tests

Estimation combining organizational sizing with AI-adoption assumptions to reach a defensible cost-savings figure.

How to approach it

  1. State the goal: estimate annual cost savings from routing 10 percent of tasks to Devin for a mid-size engineering org.
  2. Assume an org size, for example 1,000 engineers, each costing roughly 200,000 dollars loaded annually.
  3. Assume each engineer spends a portion of time, say 20 percent, on tasks suitable for delegation like bug fixes, tests, and migrations.
  4. Compute delegable task-hours: 1,000 engineers times 20 percent times full-time equivalent equals 200 FTE-equivalents of delegable work.
  5. Apply the 10 percent routing rate: 20 FTE-equivalents worth of tasks move to Devin, valued at 20 times 200,000 dollars equals 4 million dollars in engineer time.
  6. Net out Devin's cost (a subscription or usage fee) and a productivity discount, since AI-completed tasks may take longer to review, to reach a net savings estimate, clearly flagged as assumption-driven.

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