Estimation question
Estimate the cost savings of routing 10% of an engineering org's tasks to Devin.
- Cognition
- Estimation
- Hard
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What this question tests
Estimation combining organizational sizing with AI-adoption assumptions to reach a defensible cost-savings figure.
How to approach it
- State the goal: estimate annual cost savings from routing 10 percent of tasks to Devin for a mid-size engineering org.
- Assume an org size, for example 1,000 engineers, each costing roughly 200,000 dollars loaded annually.
- Assume each engineer spends a portion of time, say 20 percent, on tasks suitable for delegation like bug fixes, tests, and migrations.
- Compute delegable task-hours: 1,000 engineers times 20 percent times full-time equivalent equals 200 FTE-equivalents of delegable work.
- Apply the 10 percent routing rate: 20 FTE-equivalents worth of tasks move to Devin, valued at 20 times 200,000 dollars equals 4 million dollars in engineer time.
- Net out Devin's cost (a subscription or usage fee) and a productivity discount, since AI-completed tasks may take longer to review, to reach a net savings estimate, clearly flagged as assumption-driven.
What a strong answer includes
- Builds the estimate top-down from org size and delegable task share rather than guessing a number outright.
- Nets out the AI tool's own cost and review overhead, not just gross engineer-time saved.
- States every input as a labeled assumption so the interviewer can challenge any one of them.
- Sanity-checks the final figure against Devin's actual subscription pricing to see if the value proposition holds up.
- Notes that the 10 percent figure itself should be validated by a pilot before being used for a business case.
Common mistakes
- Skipping the review-overhead discount, overstating net savings.
- Using an arbitrary org size or cost-per-engineer without stating it as an assumption.
Likely follow-up questions
- How would this change at 25 percent routing instead of 10 percent?
- What would you validate in a pilot before trusting this estimate?
- How does review overhead change the calculation?
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More questions from Cognition
Learn the skill behind it
Chapters of the AI PM course that teach what this question tests.
- Chapter 2: Data fluency: SQL, logs, and reading the truth yourself
- Chapter 9: Prove it paid off: outcomes, economics, and pricing
- Chapter 14: Get the job: the AI PM interview loop