Metrics question

What metrics would you use to measure success in designing the estimated time of arrival?

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What this question tests

Whether the candidate can define both accuracy and trust metrics for a prediction feature that directly affects user behavior.

How to approach it

  1. Clarify the goal: ETA accuracy drives trust in the platform and reduces cancellations, so both prediction quality and behavioral impact matter.
  2. Define the core accuracy metric: mean absolute error between predicted and actual arrival time, in minutes.
  3. Add a directional bias check: whether errors skew toward overestimating or underestimating time, since underestimating erodes trust more.
  4. Tie accuracy to behavior metrics: cancellation rate before pickup, and rider or customer satisfaction ratings tied to on-time arrival.
  5. Set a guardrail for edge cases, such as ETA error during peak traffic or bad weather, where accuracy typically degrades most.

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