Estimation question

What is the size of the micromobility market in the United States?

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What this question tests

Whether you can size a market using ridership, pricing, and geographic coverage assumptions rather than a guess.

How to approach it

  1. Clarify scope: revenue from e-scooter and e-bike rentals across US cities where services currently operate, not a future potential size.
  2. Estimate the number of US cities with active micromobility service and average population per city currently served.
  3. Estimate ridership: average rides per day per served city, and average revenue per ride based on known typical per-minute pricing.
  4. State each assumption clearly, such as roughly 100 major cities served, and a few thousand rides per day in an average-sized market.
  5. Multiply rides per day by revenue per ride by number of served cities, then scale to an annual figure.
  6. Present the result as a range and flag ridership per city as the most uncertain, most sensitive assumption.

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