Estimation question
Estimate Airbnb's annual revenue in the US.
- Walmart
- Estimation
- Easy
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What this question tests
Estimation combining bookings volume, average price, and take-rate assumptions to reach a revenue figure.
How to approach it
- Estimate US nights booked annually, derived from a rough US listing count times average occupancy.
- Estimate average nightly price for a US listing, say roughly $150-200 a night.
- Multiply nights booked by average price to get gross booking value for the US.
- Apply Airbnb's take rate, the commission it keeps combining host and guest fees, roughly mid-teens percent, to GBV to get actual revenue.
- State the final figure as an order of magnitude with assumptions clearly labeled.
What a strong answer includes
- Correctly distinguishes gross booking value from Airbnb's actual revenue by applying a take-rate assumption, a common miss on this type of question.
- Uses labeled, round assumptions at each step: listings, occupancy, nightly price, take rate.
- Sanity checks the resulting figure against the general scale of Airbnb's known global revenue.
Common mistakes
- Presenting gross booking value as if it were Airbnb's revenue, skipping the take-rate step entirely.
- Not stating an explicit take-rate assumption, leaving the final number unexplained.
Likely follow-up questions
- How would seasonality change your estimate throughout the year?
- How does the US compare to Airbnb's global revenue mix?
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Learn the skill behind it
Chapters of the AI PM course that teach what this question tests.
- Chapter 2: Data fluency: SQL, logs, and reading the truth yourself
- Chapter 9: Prove it paid off: outcomes, economics, and pricing
- Chapter 14: Get the job: the AI PM interview loop